The Purposeful Leader
In today's volatile markets, leadership can't be one-dimensional. The Purposeful Leader offers a practical system for executives, intrapreneurs, and decision-makers navigating complexity without clear answers. Author Neil Tarallo, creator of the NOVA-U Decision-Making Framework, draws on decades of global experience to deliver tools that work in real time and in real companies. This book bridges research and execution, equipping leaders to act with confidence, adjust with agility, and lead with integrity. It's not a theory book; it's a leadership manual built for the pressures and unpredictability of today's business environment.
Analysis and Evaluation of the Macroscopic Organizational Structure of Red Horse
The primary contingency engineering capability within the United States Air Force is provided by Rapid Engineer Deployable, Heavy Operations Readiness Squadron, Engineer (RED HORSE). This thesis examines the macroscopic organizational structure of RED HORSE; that is, the manner in which RED HORSE resources (personnel and equipment) are organized collectively, above the unit (squadron or flight) level. It builds on the findings of the Air Combat Command - sponsored RED HORSE 2010 Strategic Study, and focuses on issues of geographic location and chain of command above the unit level, as the study found these two topics were found to be vital to the accomplishment of the RED HORSE mission. Working in direct cooperation with ACC, this research uses value focused thinking and multi-attribute preference theory to create a hierarchical structure depicting the goals and objectives of a qualified decision maker (ACC/CEX). The research effort generated and evaluated 20 alternatives. The decision analysis model recommends an optimal macroscopic organizational structure whereby RED HORSE units are assigned to different theater commands as the most preferred alternative. Extensive sensitivity analysis showed that the model is very reactive to changes in objective and evaluation measure weights, indicating that further research is required.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Using Simulation to Model the Army Recruiting Station With Multi-Quality Prospects
This thesis explores the application of simulation to the Army Recruiting Station. Included are the effects of leadership styles and policies, the effects of recruiters with different personality types, and differences in processing for varying types of recruits. Research included heavy emphasis into determining the effects of leadership on recruiter productivity. In addition, major changes were made to a previous simulation model. The changes allowed current research to be implemented into the simulation. This research is intended to help the United States Army Recruiting Command better understand how changes in the recruiting process and in leadership policies affect productivity.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Analysis and Forecasting of Army Operating and Support Cost for Rotary Aircraft
This research explores forecasting techniques to estimate the Cost per Flying Hour for Army Helicopters. Specifically, three separate forecasting techniques are evaluated to better predict the CPFH for better estimating and budgeting by the US Army. To begin, the three cost categories are empirically analyzed for each helicopter. For forecasting purposes, actual CPFH figures were compiled from 1995 to 2003 for all MACOMs flying the AH-64A, the CH-47D, and the UH-60A helicopters. The number of MACOMs is then reduced to the top three in regards to total CPFH expenditure. The use of a 3-year moving average, the single exponential smoothing method and the Holt's linear method are explored for each helicopter's data. These forecasting techniques are used to forecast for FY03 in evaluating the best methodology to forecast the CPFH for FY04. By comparing both the budgeted and forecasted figures for FY00 - FY02 to the actual CPFH figures in the same years, an accurate CPFH forecast for all of the MACOMs was possible. When data became available, a comparison of the actual, budgeted, and forecasted CPFH for FY03 was performed. The Holt's linear method was discovered to be the best forecasting method for 78 percent of the time series analyzed since they contained positive trends. Finally, the best forecast to be provided for FY04 is calculated with the chosen forecasting method.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
An Advanced Visualization Method for an Operations Research Analysis
Visualizing multidimensional data using only two dimensions and conventional visualization techniques limits the understanding of the data set. Underlying structures or patterns within the data can easily go unnoticed. In order to gain additional insight into an analysis, incorporation of visualization and multidimensional graphics into the analysis results should be accomplished. The results must ensure that the information portrayed is not misleading or misunderstood. The integrity of the data must be preserved throughout the transformation. The primary objective of this research effort is to identify techniques to visualize multidimensional data and then develop a software tool to display the multidimensional data in order to gain insight into the data and analysis performed.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Analyze the Air Force Methods for Facility Sustainment and Restoration
The Department of Defense (DoD) is improving the procedures for identifying, advocating, allocating funding, and accomplishing facility requirements to improve the readiness capability to support the mission. The purposes of this research were to fully explore the methodologies employed by the Air Force (AF) and try to capitalize on industry standard practices to improve the AF methods. Industry has conducted extensive research devoted to the development of predictive models to estimate facility maintenance or sustainment requirements. The DoD and the AF have already implemented the facility sustainment model (FSM) to predict facility sustainment requirements; now however, they are struggling with a justifiable methodology for predicting facility repair or restoration requirements. This research used statistical stepwise regression with historical AF facility requirement cost data for the last five years, in an attempt to develop a predictive model. The analysis results were not significant and did not result in an accurate predictive model, but the methodology and background research did produce some positive results. Observations regarding AF facility requirement reporting tools were identified and recommendations for improved integration were made in the research.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Machine Learning Technologies on Energy Economics and Finance
This book explores the latest innovations in energy economics and finance, with a particular focus on the role of machine learning algorithms in advancing the energy sector. It examines key factors shaping this field, including market structures, regulatory frameworks, environmental impacts, and the dynamics of the global energy market. It discusses the critical application of machine learning (ML) in energy financing, introducing predictive tools for forecasting energy prices across various sectors--such as crude oil, electricity, fuelwood, solar, and natural gas. It also addresses how ML can predict investor behavior and assess the efficiency of energy markets, with a focus on both the opportunities and challenges in renewable energy and energy finance. This book serves as a comprehensive guide for academics, practitioners, financial managers, stakeholders, government officials, and policymakers who seek strategies to enhance energy systems, reduce costs and uncertainties, and optimize revenue for economic growth. This is the second volume of a two-volume set.
Supply Chain Analytics
Supply Chain Analytics, second edition, introduces the reader to data analytics by describing four-key supply chain processes, and illustrating, through worked examples, how the descriptive, predictive and prescriptive analytic methods can be applied to make improvements.
Supply Chain Analytics
Supply Chain Analytics, second edition, introduces the reader to data analytics by describing four-key supply chain processes, and illustrating, through worked examples, how the descriptive, predictive and prescriptive analytic methods can be applied to make improvements.
University-Industry Collaboration
This book is a comprehensive handbook for structuring university-industry engagement programs that yield measurable impact. It addresses the nuts and bolts of collaboration, drawing from both research and the real-world experience of seasoned leaders from top-tier universities and companies. The authors' solutions-focused perspectives arise from participation in UIDP, a one-of-a-kind association devoted to strengthening university-industry partnerships. The book is intended for university and industry relationship managers, contracts and grants administrators, innovation leaders, and technology transfer professionals in university-industry partnerships. It is also essential reading for government and foundation research sponsors in science, engineering, and medicine, as well as a valuable resource for academic researchers in management science who explore methods and practices for technological innovation.
Accounting for Mergers, Acquisitions, and Business Combinations
This book provides undergraduate accounting students with a comprehensive understanding of business combinations, joint ventures, and the accounting methods used in these complex transactions. It teaches both the application of accounting principles and the strategic and financial implications of mergers, acquisitions, and joint ventures. The book covers topics such as the purchase method of accounting, goodwill treatment, fair value adjustments, and the equity method, all crucial for accurate financial reporting. Structured progressively, it introduces key concepts, real-world examples, and practical exercises, including case studies that apply accounting principles to actual financial scenarios. This approach helps students develop technical knowledge, analytical skills, and critical thinking for navigating business challenges.
Negotiation for Procurement and Supply Chain Professionals
How can procurement leaders secure stronger outcomes from negotiations? Negotiation for Procurement and Supply Chain Professionals by Jonathan O'Brien is a practical guide for senior procurement and supply chain professionals who need to plan, lead and deliver high-value negotiations in complex and competitive environments. Built around the globally recognized Red Sheet(R) Methodology, this book offers a structured, proven framework for securing better deals, aligning teams and navigating commercial conversations with clarity and control. Now updated with new content on remote negotiation, cultural influences and the role of AI, it enables professionals to: - Develop detailed, adaptable negotiation plans with clear tactics and objectives - Assess supplier positions, sales tactics and cultural dynamics - Use digital tools and AI to support data-led negotiation strategies - Lead collaborative planning and alignment across procurement teams With techniques trusted by global organizations, this book equips leaders to negotiate with confidence, manage risk and deliver measurable commercial value. Turn negotiation into a strategic advantage for procurement and supply chain success. Themes: procurement negotiation, supplier strategy, Red Sheet Methodology, remote negotiation, AI in negotiation, commercial leadership
Training & Development Program for Enhancing Employee Job Satisfaction
Employee job satisfaction plays a crucial role in enhancing organizational performance and retention. Training and development programs are key drivers in fostering a motivated and engaged workforce. By equipping employees with necessary skills, knowledge, and career growth opportunities, these programs not only improve individual performance but also contribute to overall job satisfaction. This study aims to explore the impact of structured training and development initiatives on employee satisfaction, emphasizing how effective learning opportunities lead to improved morale, job commitment, and long-term employee retention.
Forecasting Flying Hour Costs of the B-1, B-2, and the B-52 Bomber Aircraft
This thesis both evaluates, and presents improvements to, the current method of forecasting flying costs of Air Force aircraft. It uses depot level repairable (DRL) and consumable (CONS) data for the Air FOrce's bomber platforms: B-1B, B-2, and B-52H. The current forecasting method assumes a proportional relationship between costs and flying hours such that 1) when no hours are flown costs are zero, and 2) a 1% increase in flying hours will increase costs by 1%. The findings of this research indicate that applying log-linear ordinary least squares regression techniques may be an improved fit of flying cost data over the current proportional model; the actual data indicate a non-zero intercept and a less than proportional relationship between costs and flying hours. This research also found that models including factors other than fklying hours as independent variables, such as sorties, lagged costs, and fiscal trends, may be more useful than models based solely on flying hours. Finally, this research found that estimating quarterly costs at the base-level may yield more accurate estimates than estimating at the monthly level, or mission design series level.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Spare Parts Storage and Shipping
The goal of this paper was to improve the supply of spare parts by employing sound storage. Topics include storage layout, bulk and bin storage, receiving, location activity, order assembly and shipping, inventories, and procedures and training.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
The Stenographer's Companion
"The Stenographer's Companion" by W. L. Mason, originally published in 1896, is a comprehensive guide designed to assist stenographers in honing their skills and achieving proficiency in shorthand. This collection features a carefully curated assortment of words, sentences, and dictation exercises, providing ample practice material for both novice and experienced stenographers. The book aims to improve speed, accuracy, and overall competency in taking dictation and transcribing notes. This historical text offers valuable insights into the secretarial practices of the late 19th century, making it a fascinating resource for those interested in the history of business and communication. It remains a practical and instructive guide for anyone studying or practicing stenography today. This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Transportation Uncertainty and Postponement Strategy
A manufacturing company can postpone production and logistics process on its supply chain system. Delaying of manufacturing and logistics can eliminate burden of accurate forecasting of demand and reduce inventory carrying cost. Same postponement process cannot be implemented generally because every product has its own characteristic of demand and every company has its own characteristic of production environment. A company needs to find its best postponement strategy to minimize its cost of a product. This study applies Pagh and Cooper (1998)'s typology of supply chain process to find a best postponement strategy for an example company, one of the global 500 company which have factory both in Europe and U.S. Total cost of the example product may be affected by holding cost rate, customer service level, exchange rate, and transportation uncertainty while the product moves through each supply chain. This study will simulate the supply chain system and apply these factors in each postponement strategy. The simulated data will be used to analyze the effect of parameters and discuss the result.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Using Future Value Analysis to Select an Optimal Portfolio of Force Protection Initiatives
With the recent increase in terrorist activity, force protection has become a key issue for the Department of Defense. Leading the research for new ideas and concepts in force protection for the US Air Force is the Air Force Force Protection Battlelab (FPB). The FPB is charged with searching out force protection ideas and selecting those most worthy for future consideration. In 2002, a Value-Focused Thinking (VFT) hierarchy was created to help the FPB select those ideas that provided the most value to the Air Force and it's force protection goals. This research effort uses the Future Value Analysis (FVA) approach, a decision-making methodology, to provide a more accurate project selection tool to the FPB. FVA incorporates the ideals of multi-attribute utility theory, specifically using the VFT process, as well as linear programming optimization techniques, to provide an optimal portfolio of initiatives for the FPB to pursue. FVA provides a solution that optimizes the value of initiatives selected, while remaining within the organizational constraints of the FPB.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Solving the Multidimensional Multiple Knapsack Problem With Packing Constraints Using Tabu Search
This paper presents a methodology for solving military aircraft load- scheduling problems modeled as a multidimensional multiple knapsack problem, Because of the computational time associated with applying conventional algorithms to this type of problem, we employ tabu search to determine how much cargo a heterogeneous group of aircraft can carry. This study extends the previous work of Chocolaad in two areas. First, we modify Chocolaad's algorithms to solve the multiple (rather than the single) knapsack problem under the constraints he defmed for the Airlift Loading Problem. Second, we drop his assumption of a homogeneous group of aircraft. We validate our model by confirming its solutions with cargo loadmasters, and comparing the performance of our algorithm with the benchmark ALM.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Data Envelopment Analysis to Assess Productivity in the United States Air Force Medical Supply Chain
Utilizing a DEA model created by Dr. Paul Jensen, of the University of Texas, each of 73 AF MTFs was assigned baseline efficiency rating in the current medical supply chain network structure. Efficiency was calculated based on the facility's capability to process input(s) to output(s). Effectiveness, operationalized as application of the appropriate strategy "to get the job done," was assessed as a function of lead time using average delivery days. Contract specifications and manpower authorizations for FY11 in addition to sales, receipts, order lines, and lead times for the previous two years were inputs and analyzed. Through a combination of contract and user-defined constraints, the model indicated several optimal locations for aggregate ordering centers by region, ultimately suggesting multiple virtual hub-and-spoke networks.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
The Stenographer's Companion
"The Stenographer's Companion" by W. L. Mason, originally published in 1896, is a comprehensive guide designed to assist stenographers in honing their skills and achieving proficiency in shorthand. This collection features a carefully curated assortment of words, sentences, and dictation exercises, providing ample practice material for both novice and experienced stenographers. The book aims to improve speed, accuracy, and overall competency in taking dictation and transcribing notes. This historical text offers valuable insights into the secretarial practices of the late 19th century, making it a fascinating resource for those interested in the history of business and communication. It remains a practical and instructive guide for anyone studying or practicing stenography today. This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Improving Performance Analysis of the Distribution Segment of the Air Force Logistic Pipeline
Agile Combat Support is focused on providing fast, flexible, responsive, and reliable support as the foundation of all Air Force operations. Combined with the current Air Force focus on ensuring Time Definite Delivery (TDD) and reducing Customer Wait Time (CWT), this new mind-set will place ever-increasing emphasis on supply chain performance as a determining factor in overall campaign effectiveness of future conflicts. An improved methodology for the systematic performance analysis of the distribution segment of the logistics pipeline may aid AFMC transportation personnel (AFMC/LSO) in the quick identification of system bottlenecks, identification of root causes of performance shortfalls, and the recommendation of corrective actions, resulting in improved material flow times, reduced Customer Wait Times, more accurate Time Definite Delivery. Recommendations offered by this thesis are designed to provide the basis for developing the current methodology and to identify future research areas. The recommendations offered include the development of the current methodology across all AFMC logistics functional areas, the development of a more pro-active analysis procedure to identify problems before they affect TDD and CWT, modification of the current analyses procedure to derive more relevant performance information and present the results in a more digestible format, the automation of the pipeline analyses process, and the initiation of an AFMC-wide logistics pipeline analysis cell staffed by the various functional specialists.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management Costing
The Air Force has struggled to completely understand the costs associated with its operations. The issue of understanding cost is complex, involving many perspectives, methods and techniques. When examined from a broad standpoint, total supply chain costs can include a firm's costs plus upstream and downstream costs. This perspective takes vendors, suppliers and end customers into consideration. From this broad standpoint, the Air Force does not know its total supply chain cost. Since the Air Force's supply chain is too broad to be a focus of this study, a smaller segment was chosen for a closer look. Specifically, air cargo carriers were selected as a type of commercial organization that could be sufficiently similar to the Air Force in some respects and possibly offer information to address the investigative questions. The purpose of this research is to determine what costing issues exist in the air cargo arena and what costing methods or techniques are utilized to address those issues. Air cargo carriers were contacted and a telephone interview was administered to strategic key informants.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
The Influence of Framing Effects on Perceived Ease of Use, Perceived Usefulness, and Behavioral Intention in Information Technology Systems
Every year the Department of Defense spends millions of dollars on the purchase of new computer equipment. There is some question as to the necessity of the amount of this spending. Brynjolfsson (1993) and Landauer (1996) state that it appears that as the order of magnitude of information technology (IT) has increased in both numbers and processing power, the actual increase in the level of productivity, as a whole, has not. Unfortunately, in a time when Air Force budgets are shrinking and the United States military is called on by the taxpayers they serve to do more with less, funding for this IT is often not available. This thesis looks at the use of information framing to influence users' perceptions of information technology using the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). TAM does this by measuring users' perceived ease of use, perceived usefulness, and behavioral intention toward a computer. An experiment was conducted by framing information about the technology level of two computers. Users' perceptions about using those systems were then collected using the TAM construct measuring instruments. The results of this study suggest that these perceptions about computer technology have more impact on users' actual use of an IT system than the actual technology level that is present in a computer. This indicates that the aggressive product replacement cycles for computers currently used by Air Force units could be reexamined to extend the useful life of existing systems. The savings realized could then be applied to other critical Air Force mission needs.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Transportation Uncertainty and Postponement Strategy
A manufacturing company can postpone production and logistics process on its supply chain system. Delaying of manufacturing and logistics can eliminate burden of accurate forecasting of demand and reduce inventory carrying cost. Same postponement process cannot be implemented generally because every product has its own characteristic of demand and every company has its own characteristic of production environment. A company needs to find its best postponement strategy to minimize its cost of a product. This study applies Pagh and Cooper (1998)'s typology of supply chain process to find a best postponement strategy for an example company, one of the global 500 company which have factory both in Europe and U.S. Total cost of the example product may be affected by holding cost rate, customer service level, exchange rate, and transportation uncertainty while the product moves through each supply chain. This study will simulate the supply chain system and apply these factors in each postponement strategy. The simulated data will be used to analyze the effect of parameters and discuss the result.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Modeling the Pre-Positioning of Air Force Precision Guided Munitions
The Air Force's ability to deploy, employ, and sustain operations in forward locations is a key to mission success. An integral part of this strategy is equipment prepositioning, to include: vehicles, aircraft support, consumable inventory, and munitions. This research focuses on defining and developing a model to aid decision makers with the afloat pre-positioning and deployment of munitions in an effort to ensure that the right weapons are available when, and where needed. This research places a particular focus on the strategic, global pre-positioning of the Afloat Pre-positioning Fleet (APF) in an effort to minimize the overall response time involved with offloading these ships and transporting their cargo to the intended point of use. The model developed in this study is a mixed integer program that was implemented using the General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS). The model considers the various aspects of pre-positioning (forward operating locations, Standard Air Munitions Packages, and the APF) in order to optimally locate and configure each APF ship. The methodology for this model was tested and verified using precision guided munitions data for a number of scenarios.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
The slope of the Treasury yield curve has often been cited as a leading economic indicator, with inversion of the curve being thought of as a harbinger of a recession. In this paper, I consider a number of probit models using the yield curve to forecast recessions. Models that use both the level of the federal funds rate and the term spread give better in-sample fit, and better out-of-sample predictive performance, than models with the term spread alone. There is some evidence that controlling for a term premium proxy as well may also help. I discuss the implications of the current shape of the yield curve in the light of these results, and report results of some tests for structural stability and an evaluation of out-of-sample predictive performance.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Effects of startup collaboration on established firms
This book explores if and how a startup's entrepreneurial behavior can be transmitted into different organizational levels of an established firm. Both qualitative and quantitative research was conducted, using computer-aided text analysis, an abductive coding approach as well as validated items derived from the scientific entrepreneurship discourse for measuring transmission effects. The findings suggest that the transmission of entrepreneurial behavior is embedded in an organizational change process, in which four categories of employees (personas) were identified: The intrapreneur, the person of conviction, the opportunist and the objector. Depending on the category they belong to, employees of established firms are triggered by different stimuli and have different effect mechanisms for the transmission of entrepreneurial behavior. The quantitative analysis revealed that startup collaboration primarily stimulates innovativeness on firm level and proactive behavior among employees. The effects are contingent upon a number of variables.
Negotiation for Procurement and Supply Chain Professionals
How can procurement leaders secure stronger outcomes from negotiations? Negotiation for Procurement and Supply Chain Professionals by Jonathan O'Brien is a practical guide for senior procurement and supply chain professionals who need to plan, lead and deliver high-value negotiations in complex and competitive environments. Built around the globally recognized Red Sheet(R) Methodology, this book offers a structured, proven framework for securing better deals, aligning teams and navigating commercial conversations with clarity and control. Now updated with new content on remote negotiation, cultural influences and the role of AI, it enables professionals to: - Develop detailed, adaptable negotiation plans with clear tactics and objectives - Assess supplier positions, sales tactics and cultural dynamics - Use digital tools and AI to support data-led negotiation strategies - Lead collaborative planning and alignment across procurement teams With techniques trusted by global organizations, this book equips leaders to negotiate with confidence, manage risk and deliver measurable commercial value. Turn negotiation into a strategic advantage for procurement and supply chain success. Themes: procurement negotiation, supplier strategy, Red Sheet Methodology, remote negotiation, AI in negotiation, commercial leadership
Unfolding the Layers of Social Entrepreneurship in Turkey
Unfolding the Layers of Social Entrepreneurship in Turkey is a compelling exploration of the dynamic and inspiring world of social entrepreneurship in Turkey. This book delves into the innovative minds and resilient spirits that are reshaping communities, addressing social issues, and fostering sustainable development across the nation. This comprehensive book takes readers on an enlightening journey through the multifaceted world of social entrepreneurship in Turkey, exploring its unique challenges, innovative solutions, and impactful success stories. Each chapter delves into different aspects of this burgeoning field, providing a detailed and nuanced understanding of how social enterprises are making a difference across the nation. Through meticulous research and vivid storytelling, this book uncovers the unique financial strategies, funding challenges, and creative solutions that set social entrepreneurs apart from their commercial counterparts. It highlights the critical role of governmental support, the importance of digital platforms like crowdfunding, and the impact of social value creation on financial sustainability. Featuring real-life success stories, in-depth analyses, and insightful interviews, Unfolding the Layers of Social Entrepreneurship in Turkey offers readers a comprehensive understanding of the ecosystem that nurtures and supports social enterprises. Whether you are an academic, a policymaker, an aspiring social entrepreneur, or simply someone interested in the power of social innovation, this book is an essential guide to understanding and navigating the complex landscape of social entrepreneurship in Turkey.
A System Dynamics Approach to Modeling Aircraft System Production Break Costs
This research effort employs a System Dynamics methodology to model Air Force aircraft production break costs. The Air Force currently used the Anderlohr, Modified Anderlohr, and Retrograde methods for the estimation of aircraft production breaks. These methods offer little insight into the dynamic behavior of an aircraft production break. System Dynamics offers a unique way of capturing expert opinions in this area and dynamically presenting behaviors of an Air Force aircraft production line during a production break. Development of this model followed a four-step process of conceptualization, formulation, testing, and implementation.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Forecasting Expeditionary Training for Company Grade Logistics Readiness Officers
Since the development of the Expeditionary Airman concept and the start of combat operations in the Global War on Terrorism, the Logistics Readiness Officer's (LRO) duty environment has expanded beyond traditional garrison-based duties. This expansion can arguably incorporate current topics of joint operations, irregular warfare, and cultural intelligence. The intent of this study is to determine what training, if any, future company grade LROs will require on these three topics. The research uses Delphi methodology, utilizing an expert panel of twelve LROs with experience in joint operations within a deployed environment, and interactions with foreign nationals. The study applies two rounds of surveys; the first seeks the participant's recommendations on training statements on the three different topics. The second round survey consists of consolidated responses from the first survey, which panel members ranked for likelihood of implementation and impact using a 5-point Likert scale. The mean and standard deviation for these rankings describe the differences in participant's observations. A scatter plot graph for each of the three topics represents the relationship between the means of likelihood of implementation and impact for each statement. Finally, a 3x3 matrix corresponding with each scatter plot graph categorizes the findings to provide a graphic representation of the expeditionary training panel members recommend for future LROs.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Harnessing AI and Data Science for Real-World Impact
In an era where data drives decisions but real-world implementation often falls short, this book cuts through the hype to reveal what impactful data science truly looks like. Drawing from years of hands-on experience across industries, it offers a rare glimpse into the challenges and triumphs of deploying AI solutions that are both innovative and responsible.More than a technical manual, this work provides a professional compass for navigating the complex realities of data science from designing robust machine learning systems to addressing the ethical dilemmas inherent in modern analytics. Readers will discover how to translate theoretical knowledge into tangible results, whether building fraud detection models, optimizing deployment pipelines, or establishing frameworks for trustworthy AI.The narrative goes beyond code and algorithms to explore the human side of data work: mentoring teams, fostering organizational change, and making strategic decisions under pressure. For students, it demystifies the transition from classroom to career. For practitioners, it offers hard-won insights on scaling solutions while maintaining rigor and integrity.At its core, this book is about doing data science that matters work that withstands real-world tests and creates meaningful change. It's an invitation to pursue excellence that's measured not just in model accuracy, but in lasting impact.
Developing an Excel Decision Support System Using In-Transit Visibility to Decrease DoD Transportation Delays
The United States Air Force's Air Mobility Command (AMC) is responsible for efficiently transporting military personnel and cargo throughout the world. Organizations throughout the transportation system search for ways to decrease cargo transportation time as part of their ongoing mission to provide timely airlift services to the DoD. Decreasing the average time pallets wait for a transportation aircraft, called the port hold time (PHT), is a difficult problem which is currently receiving attention. The DoD has invested in radio frequency identification (RFID) technology to provide in-transit visibility (ITV) of all cargo moving through the transportation system. In many ways ITV has made cargo transportation much more efficient but its capability to measure and characterize cargo flow through the system has not been fully exploited. The purpose of this research is to create a Microsoft Excel application which utilizes RFID data to quantify and analyze cargo velocity in the Iraqi theater. The transportation system is analyzed at the pallet level to reveal which specific air bases and transportation methods cause lengthy cargo delays. Pallet PHT data is processed and reported using Statistical Process Control (SPC) methods including control and Pareto charts.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Covalidation of Dissimilarly Structured Models
A methodology is presented which allows comparison between models constructed under different modeling paradigms. Consider two models that exist to study different aspects of the same system, namely Air Mobility Command's strategic airlift system. One model simulates a fleet of aircraft moving a given combination of cargo and passengers from an onload point to an offload point. The second model is a linear program that optimizes aircraft and route selection given cargo and passenger requirements in order to minimize late- and non-deliveries. Further, the optimization model represents a more aggregated view of the airlift system than does the simulation. The two models do not have immediately comparable input or output structures, which complicates comparisons between the two models. I develop a methodology to structure this comparison and use it to compare the two large-scale models described above. Models that compare favorably using this methodology are deemed covalid. Models that perform similarly under approximately the same input conditions are considered covalid in a narrow sense. Models that are covalid (in this narrow sense) may hold the potential to be used in an iterative fashion to improve the input (and thus, the output) of one another. I prove that, under certain regularity conditions, this method of output/input crossflow converges, and if the convergence is to a valid representation of the real-world system, the models are considered covalid in a wide sense. Further, if one of the models has been independently validated (in the traditional meaning), then a validation by association of the other model may be effected through this process.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
An Empirical Analysis of the Impacts of Adopting Lean Purchasing and Supplier Management Principles on the Participation of Small Businesses Within The Department of Defense Aerospace Industry
The Small Business Act requires that small business concerns be afforded the maximum practicable opportunity to participate in Federal contracts and subcontracts. The contract dollars awarded to small businesses by the Air Force have been on the decline for several years and the Air Force is not meeting its small business award goals. This thesis is a follow-on research effort to that conducted by Mr. Bruce Miller (GAQ-02M) who proposed a connection between the Lean Aerospace Initiative's (LAI) Purchasing and Supplier Management (PSM) principles and declining small business participation.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
An Analysis of the Efficacy of the Logistics Composite Model in Estimating Maintenance Manpower Productive Capacity
The Logistics Composite Model (LCOM) is the tool of choice for many MAJCOM's (ACC, USAFE, AFMC) in determining maintenance manpower requirements. The LCOM is a simulation program capable of modeling the manpower, equipment, supplies, and facilities required to conduct aircraft maintenance activities. Manpower studies conducted with the LCOM result in manpower estimates that end up in Unit Manning Documents (UMD) as "LCOM earned," authorized positions. This research effort focuses on whether the LCOM can also be used to determine maintenance manpower's current capacity.Three different flying units at Cannon AFB, NM were modeled to determine if the LCOM, when programmed with historical data, would imitate the actual sortie production of those units that were realized during the previous annual flying period (FY2002).Based on the analysis and results presented, the researcher concludes that the LCOM can be a viable tool for this purpose but recommends that a standard set of "best practices" be developed and implemented by LCOM analysts to standardize the methodology and improve the reliability of results.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Group Decision Support Systems and Influence Modes
This study examined the effect of Group Decision Support System (GDSS) technology on perceived influence modes. The researcher measured perceived influence modes in two group treatments: GDSS groups and non-GDSS (N-GDSS) mediated groups. Actual groups in both treatments performed judgmental tasks of their own choosing. Group members then completed a survey that measures their perceptions regarding five influence sources: expert influence, influence from legitimate authority, referent influence, reward influence, and coercive influence. The survey also measured the extent to which members perceived an "opportunity to influence" other group members. For each variable measured in both treatment groups, mean scores were calculated from respondents' ratings. Analysis indicated that GDSS technology significantly reduces the amount of influence perceived by group members when compared to members in N-GDSS groups. Results also indicated that there was no significant difference between treatment groups regarding members' perceived "opportunity to influence" other group members.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
An Empirical Analysis of the Impacts of Adopting Lean Purchasing and Supplier Management Principles on the Participation of Small Businesses Within The Department of Defense Aerospace Industry
The Small Business Act requires that small business concerns be afforded the maximum practicable opportunity to participate in Federal contracts and subcontracts. The contract dollars awarded to small businesses by the Air Force have been on the decline for several years and the Air Force is not meeting its small business award goals. This thesis is a follow-on research effort to that conducted by Mr. Bruce Miller (GAQ-02M) who proposed a connection between the Lean Aerospace Initiative's (LAI) Purchasing and Supplier Management (PSM) principles and declining small business participation.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
An Analysis of Time Series Forecasting Methods for the Airlift of Palletized Sustainment Cargo
In the Department of Defense (DOD) supply chain for sustainment cargo, over 45,000 pallets were transloaded at Incirlik AB, Turkey in from April 2008 to December 2009 with ultimate destinations in the USCENTCOM AOR, making Incirlik the largest transshipment node for airlift in the DOD by over two-fold. Current methods of forecasting follow-on transportation requirements are based on the amount of pallets on hand at the aerial port as well as short-term visibility of pallets currently in the channel system destined for Incirlik AB. This process yields a forecast horizon of only 2-3 days for planning subsequent airlift missions. An analysis several time series forecasting methods using post-sample pallet data from the Global Air Transportation Execution System (GATES) was accomplished to examine their ability to forecast different sustainment scenarios at least 7 days in advance of arrival at Incirlik AB, Turkey.This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
